The pre-election public opinion polls were correct in predicting a significant gain by the PRI in yesterday's midterm elections in Mexico.
According to the latest estimates, the PRI has gone from 106 diputados (members of the lower house of Congress) to 237.
The PAN, President Felipe Calderon's party, has lost, going from 206 to 143 diputados.
The PRD, which had won the second highest number of votes and diputados in the 2006 presidential election, was by far the biggest loser, dropping from a current 127 to 72 diputados.
The PVEM is seeing an increase from 17 to 22 diputados.
It is generally regarded that with the support of the PVEM (often a political ally), the PRI will achieve a majority in the 500-member Chamber of Deputies, thus becoming a formidable barrier to President Calderon and once again positioning the PRI in line to regain control of the presidency in 2012.
The implications for Mexican politics as a whole, and for specific issues such as the rights of Mexicans in the US, the development of policies to improve conditions in the regions characterized by strong emigration, or the recovery of the Mexican economy remain to be seen.
Monday, July 6, 2009
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